Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216860          25          55          18           2           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000731196          26          47          21           6           0        B3.5
GOES Xray  =   1.03590e-07           7          57          32           4           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =       19.0000          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            18.25       54.50       23.50        3.75        0.00     B3.9
 
realized                                                                                      B5.8