Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215902          34          46          18           2           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000738404          24          40          29           7           0        B4.0
GOES Xray  =   7.50960e-08          11          67          20           2           0        B3.1
est. ISN   =       22.0000           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                            19.25       51.75       25.25        3.75        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      B2.0