Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215027          34          48          15           3           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000729378          26          48          21           5           0        B3.1
GOES Xray  =   8.42171e-08           7          62          28           3           0        B4.1
est. ISN   =       20.0000          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                            20.00       53.75       22.75        3.50        0.00     B3.5
 
realized                                                                                      B4.2