Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215930          35          47          16           2           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000721297          28          48          19           5           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   7.38297e-08          11          68          19           2           0        B3.0
est. ISN   =       23.0000           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            20.50       54.50       21.25        3.75        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      B2.8