Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214858          34          48          15           3           0        B2.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000709057          28          47          22           3           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   6.83116e-08          13          69          17           1           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =       19.0000          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            22.50       55.75       19.25        2.50        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      B1.0