Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212171          37          59           3           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000625456          35          57           7           1           0        B1.5
GOES Xray  =   9.44478e-08           5          62          29           4           0        B5.0
est. ISN   =       17.0000          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            23.50       60.25       14.00        2.25        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B3.2