Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00217118          27          55          16           2           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000730795          26          47          21           6           0        B3.5
GOES Xray  =   8.95690e-08           5          65          26           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =       14.0000          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            19.00       57.75       19.75        3.50        0.00     B3.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5