Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213403          37          53           8           2           0        B1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000657119          35          57           7           1           0        B1.5
GOES Xray  =   6.49648e-08          18          67          14           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =       13.0000          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            27.50       59.75       11.50        1.25        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                      B2.3