Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212429          36          57           6           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000636607          35          57           7           1           0        B1.5
GOES Xray  =   6.03517e-08          24          61          14           1           0        B2.0
est. ISN   =       14.0000          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            28.25       59.75       10.75        1.25        0.00     B1.8
 
realized                                                                                      B1.7