Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00211622          40          57           2           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000619141          35          57           7           1           0        B1.5
GOES Xray  =   5.97184e-08          24          63          12           1           0        B1.8
est. ISN   =       13.0000          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            29.75       59.75        9.50        1.00        0.00     B1.6
 
realized                                                                                      B4.1