Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212300          36          57           6           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000640000          35          57           7           1           0        B1.5
GOES Xray  =   5.50000e-08          33          59           8           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =       18.0000          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                            30.50       58.00       10.25        1.25        0.00     B1.7
 
realized                                                                                      B2.6