Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212911          35          57           6           2           0        B1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000658380          35          57           7           1           0        B1.5
GOES Xray  =   4.94152e-08          45          48           6           1           0        B1.2
est. ISN   =       22.0000           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                            30.75       54.00       13.25        2.00        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                      B9.5