Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215377          33          49          16           2           0        B2.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000708097          27          48          22           3           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   6.13076e-08          21          64          14           1           0        B2.3
est. ISN   =       39.0000           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                            21.50       52.00       23.25        3.00        0.25     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.0