Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221610           5          44          43           8           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000787340          12          47          36           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.42367e-07           9          64          26           1           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =       31.0000           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             7.75       50.50       36.25        5.50        0.00     B7.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.9