Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225055           6          43          46           5           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000824371           7          44          41           8           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   2.27096e-07           4          35          54           7           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       21.0000          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                             7.25       43.50       43.50        5.75        0.00     B9.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.7