Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223862           5          49          40           6           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000818870           8          45          39           8           0        B9.1
GOES Xray  =   1.70256e-07          11          51          32           6           0        B7.5
est. ISN   =       35.0000           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             7.50       49.75       35.25        7.50        0.00     B8.1
 
realized                                                                                      B9.6