Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233053           2          15          64          17           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000883070           1          36          53          10           0        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   4.27073e-07           1           1          80          16           2        C3.1
est. ISN   =       53.0000           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.00       17.50       65.00       15.25        1.25     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      M2.2