Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235870           3          13          57          24           3        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000899384           3          28          51          15           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   5.23310e-07           2           0          64          31           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       48.0000           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             3.00       15.50       58.75       19.75        3.00     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.6