Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236743           2          13          57          23           5        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000915843           3          25          52          17           3        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   5.18015e-07           2           0          63          32           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       40.0000           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             3.25       20.50       53.75       19.50        3.00     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C6.1