Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239098           2           4          71          18           5        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000938134           1          18          52          26           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   5.48821e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C6.0
est. ISN   =       52.0000           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             0.75       10.25       64.75       21.00        3.25     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      M6.6