Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232412           3          16          60          19           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000873007           3          39          49           9           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   3.73911e-07           1           4          78          17           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       50.0000           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             2.25       18.50       64.00       14.50        0.75     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C8.5