Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226030           4          37          47          12           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000813223          11          44          38           7           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   2.12411e-07           2          45          47           6           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       42.0000           5          36          52           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             5.50       40.50       46.00        7.50        0.50     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7