Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220853           7          41          42          10           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000741091          23          42          28           7           0        B5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.63790e-07          11          57          26           6           0        B7.1
est. ISN   =       23.0000           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            12.25       48.75       31.75        7.25        0.00     B7.0
 
realized                                                                                      B6.5