Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221641           5          45          42           8           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000744688          20          42          30           8           0        B5.2
GOES Xray  =   1.78041e-07           9          43          40           8           0        B9.8
est. ISN   =       19.0000          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            12.25       47.25       33.75        6.75        0.00     B7.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2