Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226534           3          37          47          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000795533          14          47          34           5           0        B6.9
GOES Xray  =   3.54411e-07           3           4          77          16           0        C2.6
est. ISN   =       44.0000           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             6.00       29.00       54.50       10.25        0.25     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C6.0