Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232488           2          16          62          18           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000836480           4          49          38           9           0        B9.0
GOES Xray  =   4.87235e-07           2           1          66          30           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =       40.0000           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             3.50       27.50       52.25       15.75        1.00     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4