Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229291           1          24          60          14           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000832306           4          45          43           8           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   3.39504e-07           3           5          75          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =       52.0000           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             2.25       23.00       60.75       13.50        0.50     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C5.4