Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239191           1           4          72          18           5        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000938974           1          16          55          25           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   4.49315e-07           2           1          82          13           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =       70.0000           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             0.75        6.50       69.25       20.50        3.00     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7