Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241300           1           3          64          25           7        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000981179           3          14          57          21           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   5.36640e-07           1           0          69          27           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       82.0000           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             1.50        4.75       62.00       26.50        5.25     C5.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9