Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00266345           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00121780           1           3          63          30           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   1.04932e-06           1           0          28          58          13        M1.7
est. ISN   =       98.0000           1           1          68          25           5        C5.9
 
together                             1.00        1.25       53.75       37.00        7.00     C8.2
 
realized                                                                                      M3.7