Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00274826           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00127000           2           1          62          30           5        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   1.22002e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       100.000           1           1          65          29           4        C6.3
 
together                             1.25        0.75       52.00       38.25        7.75     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      M5.3