Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00282860           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00133228           1           0          60          33           6        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.51426e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       80.0000           1           3          65          27           4        C5.6
 
together                             1.00        1.00       51.50       38.50        8.00     C8.9
 
realized                                                                                      X1.5