Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00258743           1           1          63          33           2        C6.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117226           1           0          65          30           4        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   7.51571e-07           1           0          49          42           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =       59.0000           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.25        5.25       59.50       30.25        3.75     C5.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1