Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246562           1           3          52          40           4        C7.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108248           2           4          72          19           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   4.67224e-07           2           1          75          21           1        C4.8
est. ISN   =       59.0000           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.75        7.00       65.00       24.00        2.25     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C5.5