Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241153           1           5          65          23           6        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101892           2          13          66          16           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.96219e-07           1           4          75          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       59.0000           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.75       10.25       66.75       18.50        2.75     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3