Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239635           1           5          69          20           5        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000996258           2          13          63          18           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.74599e-07           1           4          78          17           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       66.0000           3           7          70          19           1        C3.2
 
together                             1.75        7.25       70.00       18.50        2.50     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      C6.7