Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238340           2           5          70          17           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000966534           3          19          52          22           4        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   3.64905e-07           2           6          75          17           0        C2.8
est. ISN   =       43.0000           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.75       16.25       62.75       15.25        3.00     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      M4.2