Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231839           3          17          57          21           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000898777           3          31          49          14           3        C2.0
GOES Xray  =   2.94002e-07           3          23          65           9           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       27.0000           6          52          35           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             3.75       30.75       51.50       12.75        1.25     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      C3.7