Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224754           5          48          44           3           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000814919          10          43          40           7           0        B9.1
GOES Xray  =   1.94863e-07           5          46          43           6           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =       27.0000           6          52          35           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             6.50       47.25       40.50        5.75        0.00     B8.9
 
realized                                                                                      B4.6