Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221336           7          40          43          10           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000788042          13          47          35           5           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   1.53159e-07          10          62          26           2           0        B6.8
est. ISN   =       20.0000          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                            10.75       51.50       32.75        5.00        0.00     B7.1
 
realized                                                                                      B5.4