Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00219901          10          42          41           7           0        B8.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000774969          15          45          34           6           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.26748e-07           6          63          31           0           0        B5.9
est. ISN   =       23.0000           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             9.75       51.25       34.25        4.75        0.00     B6.7
 
realized                                                                                      B3.4