Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221903           5          48          40           7           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000797538          15          48          32           5           0        B5.6
GOES Xray  =   1.55395e-07          10          62          24           4           0        B6.8
est. ISN   =       21.0000          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                            10.50       52.50       32.25        4.75        0.00     B7.1
 
realized                                                                                      B7.1