Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237163           2          11          63          19           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000937590           1          21          51          24           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   4.39406e-07           1           2          83          13           1        C3.4
est. ISN   =       32.0000           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             1.75       20.25       58.75       17.00        2.25     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9