Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237122           2          12          61          20           5        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000955654           3          15          55          24           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   3.62476e-07           2           5          75          18           0        C2.9
est. ISN   =       30.0000           5          46          41           8           0        B9.9
 
together                             3.00       19.50       58.00       17.50        2.00     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4