Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238816           2           3          69          20           6        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100209           2          11          65          18           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.26167e-07           4           9          74          13           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =       39.0000           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                             3.25       17.50       62.25       14.25        2.75     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0