Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242146           1           2          60          31           6        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106093           3           4          70          17           6        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   3.35703e-07           3           6          76          15           0        C2.3
est. ISN   =       84.0000           1           1          59          34           5        C6.8
 
together                             1.75        3.50       66.25       24.25        4.25     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C3.1