Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240935           1           6          64          23           6        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110090           3           2          68          25           2        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   2.99610e-07           3          20          69           8           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =       88.0000           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             2.00        7.00       68.25       20.00        2.75     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4