Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249030           2           3          59          28           8        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115970           1           2          67          26           4        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   4.75781e-07           3           1          72          23           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =       74.0000           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             1.50        3.75       63.25       27.50        4.00     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2