Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242638           1           0          63          30           6        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112006           2           5          62          29           2        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   3.12908e-07           3          11          76          10           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       68.0000           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             1.50        6.25       67.00       23.00        2.25     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9