Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243087           1           0          67          28           4        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114913           1           3          65          28           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   2.61074e-07           1          32          61           6           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       62.0000           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             1.50       12.75       63.00       20.50        2.25     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6